Current Weather 2.1 Miles NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM.

Thursday, November 20, 2014

T-Storms Possible Tomorrow Night - Some Severe In W TX?

Severe Weather This Late In The Season?

Valid @ 5 PM MST Friday, Nov 21, 2014.

Although the calendar says its November a risk for severe thunderstorms is in the forecast for parts of  West Texas late Friday into perhaps Saturday morning. A short wave trough of low pressure in the middle layers of the atmosphere (500 millibars or 18,000' MSL) will swing across the area Friday night into Saturday morning. This feature and an approaching cold front from the west will provide enough lift and instability to help kick off scattered thunderstorms. Some of these could become severe. We may see a few thunderstorms Friday evening here in southeastern New Mexico as well.

Valid @ 5 PM MST Thanksgiving.

Valid @ 5 PM MST Thanksgiving.

Valid Thanksgiving Day & Friday.

Valid @ 5 PM MST Thanksgiving.

Valid @ 5 PM MST Friday, Nov 28, 2014.

Time to start taking a look ahead at what this years Thanksgiving weather will look like. Keep in mind that much can and will likely change between now and Thanksgiving.  But last night's run of the European (ECMWF) forecast model indicates a return to winter.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

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