Sunday, March 6, 2011

Extremely Critically Dangerous Fire Wx Conditions Today!

Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them.
Valid Mon Mar 7, 2011.

Update At 5 PM MST Mon Mar 7, 2011-

Peak Wind Gusts Reported As Of 5 PM MST-

San Augustin Pass - Organ Mtn's 92 mph
Guadalupe Pass 82 mph
1 Mile SE Silver City 72 mph
White Sands Museum 71 mph
Northeast El Paso 70 mph
Bowl Raws - N Of Guadalupe Pk 68 mph
El Paso Arpt 66 mph
Sierra Blanca Regional Arpt 63 mph
Apache Point 63 mph
Pinery Raws - Pine Springs 60 mph
Sacramento Pk 60 mph
High Roll CW5738 59 mph
Bat Draw Raws - Carlsbad Caverns 55 mph
Cosmic Raws - Sunspot 55 mph
Dunken Raws 54 mph
Carlsbad Arpt 52 mph
Artesia Arpt 47 mph

Peak Wind Speed Data Is Courtesy Of-

NCAR
MesoWest Weather
El Paso NWS Office
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Updated At 7:00 MST Monday Mar 7, 2011.

Potentially Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions Today & Tue!
High Winds-Blowing Dust Today & Tue!

Continues In Effect Through 8 PM MST Tue.
SW-W Winds 40-55G75 MPH!
Blowing Dust Advisory Tue!

SW-W Winds 25-40G50-55 MPH!

Blowing Dust Advisory Tuesday!
Areas Of Blowing Dust Will Reduce
The Visibility Down To Less Than
One Mile At Times In The More
Dust Prone Areas!

Extremely Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions!
Potentially Dangerous Wind Driven Fires Possible!
Please Avoid Any Type Of Outdoor Activity
That Involves The Use Of Sparks Or Flames!

Special Weather Briefing From NWS Albuquerque.

Special Weather Briefing From NWS El Paso.

Updated At 7:00 MST Monday Mar 7, 2011.

Round two of Potentially Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions, High Winds, and Blowing Dust starts today. A strong upper-level late winter storm will dive southeastward into the Desert Southwest today into Tuesday. The upper-level low is now forecast by the models to swing across northern New Mexico on Tuesday.

A 130-160 knot/150-185 mph Polar Jet Stream Wind speed maximum will plow eastward across the area today into tomorrow. Mid-level winds at the mountain top level (700 MB/10,000' MSL) are forecast to be in the neighborhood of 50-60 knots/58-69 mph today into tomorrow.

A deep surface low will be located across the Texas Panhandle today and tomorrow, with a strong pressure gradient over the eastern plains of New Mexico. A Dry Pacific Cold Front will extend southwestward from the surface low, into southwestern New Mexico, and will sweep eastward out of the state tomorrow.

High temperatures across the local area today will range from the low-upper 80's across SE NM. It will be about ten degrees cooler on Tuesday behind the Cold Front with readings in the low-upper 70's. Wednesday will be the coolest day of the week with highs in the upper 60's to near 70. Our low temperatures will once again dip down to near freezing Wednesday and Thursday mornings.

Peak Winds As Of 7 AM MST This Morning-

Bowl Raws located near Guadalupe Peak 68 mph
Guadalupe Pass 54 mph
Pinery Raws in Pine Springs 52 mph

Southwesterly winds will pick up later this morning and strengthen this afternoon. These dry winds should gust up into the neighborhood of 50-55 mph across the lower elevations of southern and southeastern New Mexico today and tomorrow. Southwesterly to westerly winds are forecast to gust up to around 75 mph across the Guadalupe Mountains.

Extremely Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Conditions are forecast for today into Tuesday across the area. There will be the potential for wind driven fires across SE NM and parts of W TX today into tomorrow! Any fire that may develop will have the ability to rapidly spread and grow in the high winds and extremely dry conditions. The public is strongly urged to refrain from any type of outdoor activity that involves the use of sparks or flame.

We are facing two rather ugly days weather-wise here in southeastern New Mexico and surrounding areas. I am hoping that we will not see large wind driven wildfires break out today into tomorrow. We desperately need a good soaking rain but that isn't going to happen any time soon.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Saturday, March 5, 2011

Old Lake McMillan Fire On 2-27-2011.



These Two Photos Are Courtesy Of Larry Pardue. 
He Took Them On 3-4-2011. They Are Shots From His Plane,
Of The Grass Fire (Named The Delta Fire) That Burned On The
 Old Lake McMillan Lakebed On 2-27-2011.
 Click On The Images To Enlarge Them.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Friday, March 4, 2011

A Cold Front Tonight Brings Cooler Wx Saturday.

This Cold Front Will Enter SE NM Tonight.
High Temps Today Mid-Upper 70's.
High Temps Saturday Low 60's.
A Slight Chance For T-Storms Across NE NM Today.

New Daily Record High Temperatures

2 March 2011LatLonASOS/
COOP
COOP/
WBAN
ID*
Record
New (0)
Tied (1)
Previous
Record
Previous
Year
Period
of
Record

RUIDOSO [LINCOLN COUNTY], NM33.37-105.66COOP29764969.0°F69.0°F196758

3 March 2011LatLonASOS/
COOP
COOP/
WBAN
ID*
Record
New (1)
Tied (1)
Previous
Record
Previous
Year
Period
of
Record

CARLSBAD CAVERNS [EDDY COUNTY], NM32.18-104.44COOP29148083.0°F83.0°F200975

RUIDOSO [LINCOLN COUNTY], NM33.37-105.66COOP29764969.0°F67.0°F196758

A Cold Front Arrives Tonight - Cooler Saturday.

I recorded a high temperature here at my home in Carlsbad of 86 on Wednesday and 84 yesterday. The Roswell Airport reached 80 on Wednesday and 81 yesterday. The Artesia Airport reached 81 on Wednesday and 79 yesterday. The Carlsbad Airport reached 85 on Wednesday and 84 yesterday. And the Hobbs Airport reached a high of 77 on Wednesday and 79 yesterday.

We can expect to see our afternoon high temperatures in the mid-upper 70's today. A cold front will move southward down the eastern plains this afternoon, and enter southeastern New Mexico early this evening. This front will knock our high temperatures back down into the low 60's on Saturday. Most areas will have low temperatures near freezing Sunday morning.

There is a slight chance for a few isolated rain showers across northern Lea County tonight. It won't be much but at least its something. Sadly, the long-range outlooks for precipitation for the area continue to look rather bleak...so the drought is forecast to continue to strengthen.

Another High Wind-Blowing Dust-Critically Dangerous Fire Weather
Event In Store For The Area Monday And Tuesday!

Special Weather Briefing From The Albuquerque
National Weather Service Office.
High Winds -High Fire Danger Next Week!
Valid At 5 PM MST Mon Mar 7, 2011.
Valid At 5 PM MST Tue Mar 8, 2011.
Valid Mon Mar 7, 2011 And Tue Mar 8, 2011.

A quick warm-up will return to the area on Sunday as yet another potent upper level storm is forecast to sweep across New Mexico Monday and Tuesday. The bad news is that this will be another dry system for southeastern New Mexico, as it tracks over the northern areas of the state.

Another Potentially Dangerous High Wind-Blowing Dust-Critically Dangerous Fire Weather Event appears to be shaping up for Monday and Tuesday across the local area.
Very strong winds aloft will mix down to the surface both days, as a tight surface pressure gradient sets up across the eastern side of the state. Afternoon high temperatures will climb back up into the 80's, and relative humidity values will fall below 15% both afternoons. These factors will once again set the stage for a couple of rough days across the area, with the potential for damaging wind gusts, blowing dust, and another bout of dangerous fire weather conditions!

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!

Tuesday, March 1, 2011

Dry...Dry...Dry!

Click On The Maps To Enlarge Them.
March 2011 Precipitation Outlook.


March-April-May Precipitation Outlook.


The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!