Current Weather 2.1 NNW Downtown Carlsbad, NM.

Friday, May 22, 2015

Severe Thunderstorms Possible Today Into Tonight!


Brrrr....Yesterday Was Almost Cold.




Yesterday's high temperatures were unusually cold for late May. These readings ranged from the 40's in the Sacramento Mountains and the eastern plains to the 50's over the southeastern plains. Clearing skies today will allow the thermometer to rise some 20 to 30 degrees above yesterdays readings with our forecast afternoon highs in the 70's & 80's. 

More Rain Yesterday & Overnight.








Severe Thunderstorms Possible Today & Tonight.





National Weather Service Storm Prediction Products.




Local NWS Office Forecast Discussions.



Clearing skies this afternoon and warmer surface temperatures will help the atmosphere recover from yesterdays cold temperatures and stable conditions. Most of the local area will fairly stable today as one upper level disturbance departs and another approaches from the  west. However the atmosphere will destabilize once again late this afternoon and tonight as another upper level disturbance approaches from the west.

Severe thunderstorms are possible across eastern New Mexico late today and eastern and southeastern New Mexico tonight. Its possible that a few isolated supercells may develop before dark this evening but as it appears now the greatest threat for severe thunderstorms will occur tonight into early tomorrow morning.

Any supercell thunderstorm that forms this afternoon and tonight will capable of producing large hail, damaging thunderstorm wind gusts in excess of 58 mph, frequent deadly cloud to ground lightning, locally heavy rainfall that may lead to localized flash flooding. An isolated tornado or two can not be ruled out as well. 

Our chances for seeing measurable rainfall across the southeastern plains of New Mexico range from 20% to 30% today, to 50% to 60% tonight.

The Truth Is Stranger Than Fiction!