There is a powerful lesson to be learned from the Blizzard of 2015! That lesson is that no matter how good we think we are at forecasting the weather, in reality, more often than not, we're not that good at times. Yes we've come a long way in the past few years compared to say 20, 30, 50 years ago with computer model forecasting. But make no mistake Mother Nature still rules in this department.
The great Blizzard of 2015 tracked just a mere 80 miles east of the models forecasts and missed New York City but buried parts of New England. Making a fool out of many a forecaster, and politician...that's the nature of the business when dealing with weather forecasting. Just remember that at some point in time, more often than not, even the best of the best forecasters will be wrong. I'm not one to criticize the National Weather Service when their forecasts bust sometimes. Nobody's perfect and God knows they give it their best. I do find it troubling that our politicians and media go to great lengths to hype these winter storms (hurricanes, tornadoes, floods, etc) for their political gain. In my opinion this is unethical and morally wrong!
Long ago (October 1976) on my first day of class during my U.S. Navy Aerographer's Mate Weather Observing School our instructor wrote this on the blackboard: "Meteorology is the most inexact science there is"...and its still true today.
Politicians Can Never Win With Weather:"After being a promised a blizzard of historic and catastrophic proportions on Monday, New York City residents woke up today to rather meager snow totals and a lot of questions for their public officials."
Yet the Political Far Left Liberals, the Extreme Environmentalists, Mother Earth Worshipers, and Global Warming Worshipers, all want you and I to believe that mankind is destroying the planet via Man Made Global Warming (disguised as Climate Change now). Really? We can't even accurately forecast the weather five days sometimes five hours in advance, much less 1 - 100 years down the road. Wake Up America We Are Being Lied Too By These Delusional Fools.
12Z/5 AM MST GFS (T1534) 500 MB Forecast.
Valid @ 18Z/11 AM MST Saturday.